Baggaley, A., Boys, R. J., Golightly, A., Sarson, G. R. and Shukurov, A. (2012) Inference for population dynamics in the Neolithic period. [Data Collection]

Collection description

We consider parameter estimation for the spread of the Neolithic incipient farming across Europe using radiocarbon dates. We model the arrival time of farming at radiocarbon-dated, early Neolithic sites by a numerical solution to an advancing wavefront. We allow for (technical) uncertainty in the radiocarbon data, lack-of-fit of the deterministic model and use a Gaussian process to smooth spatial deviations from the model. Inference for the parameters in the wavefront model is complicated by the computational cost required to produce a single numerical solution. We therefore employ Gaussian process emulators for the arrival time of the advancing wavefront at each radiocarbon-dated site. We validate our model using predictive simulations.

College / School:	College of Science and Engineering > School of Mathematics and Statistics
Date Deposited:	01 Aug 2014 13:45
Enlighten Publications URL:	http://eprints.gla.ac.uk/78453/
Related resources:	http://eprints.gla.ac.uk/78453/
URI:	https://researchdata.gla.ac.uk/id/eprint/41
Additional details Additional details Dataset URL: http://context-database.uni-koeln.de/ Type of data: Database Date: 2012 Resource language: en Data Publisher: University of Glasgow Last Modified: 31 Jan 2019 15:16

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