Author: Benedict Fellows (b.fellows.1@research.gla.ac.uk) Date: 2025/05/26

A repository of files used to produce the results shown in the paper "Phenotypic plasticity as a route to population shifts via tipping points".

Contents:

BlowflyRunner.jl - Julia file that simulates the population of Lucilia cuprina adult food decreases then increases

BlowflyPlotter.jl - Julia file called in BlowflyRunner.jl, describes the delay-differential model for Lucilia cuprina

Blowfly.jl - Julia file called in BlowflyRunner.jl, describes the delay-differential model for Lucilia cuprina. With parameters v1=-4,v2=3.36,v3=-0.50.

2VariablePlotterPlots.jl - Plots the change in population across tipping points as 2 variables of the reaction norms are changed and the reaction norms associated with a sampling of these.

LogisticRegression.jl - Does a sensitivity analysis on the parameters in the reaction norms for the through-pupal survival and the maximum adult fecundity

HollingSimsOnly.jl - Samples possible reaction norms for the through-pupal survival reaction norm and plots the range of them and when tipping points occur (Survival data required)

SurvivalData.csv - Data for the through-pupal survival from Moe et al.